(C) Inside EVS

BEIJING – Oliver Zipse, CEO of BMW, has issued a stark warning regarding the indispensable role of the Chinese market, asserting that any attempt by German automakers to pivot away from the world’s largest car market would place their future economic success in serious jeopardy.

The remarks, made during an interview with Reuters on Thursday, come at a pivotal geopolitical moment as Zipse prepares to join a high-profile economic delegation led by Chancellor Friedrich Merz to China next week.

The "Critical Pillar" of Economic Growth
For decades, the "Big Three"—BMW, Volkswagen, and Mercedes-Benz—have viewed China not just as a sales destination, but as a primary engine of global profit. However, as trade tensions between the European Union and China escalate over electric vehicle (EV) subsidies and market access, some political circles have called for "de-risking" or reducing dependence on Beijing.

Zipse, however, is championing a different path: Deepened Integration.

"If German automotive companies turn their backs on China, the world's largest automotive market, their future economic success will be endangered," Zipse stated. He emphasized that the scale and "innovation potential" found within the Chinese ecosystem are unparalleled, suggesting that isolationism would result in missing out on the next wave of global growth.

Navigating a Shifting Landscape
The timing of Zipse’s advocacy is significant. German manufacturers are currently navigating a perfect storm in the Chinese market:

Rising Local Competition: Chinese brands like BYD and Xiaomi are leveraging aggressive pricing and advanced software integration to win over local consumers.
The EV Pivot: While German brands dominated the internal combustion era, they have struggled to maintain the same dominance in the rapidly expanding EV sector.
Geopolitical Friction: The visit by Chancellor Merz is seen as a litmus test for how Europe’s largest economy will balance its security alliances with its vital commercial interests.
Cooperation Over Isolation
Zipse’s message was clear: the challenges of the modern era—ranging from decarbonization to digital transformation—cannot be solved in a vacuum. He described the Chancellor’s upcoming visit as a "strong signal" of Germany's commitment to maintaining a dialogue and strengthening industrial ties.

"Innovation and progress do not come from isolation," Zipse remarked, calling for a combination of "pioneering spirit, an open attitude, and global expertise."

 
Analysis: Why This Matters
Zipse’s comments highlight the delicate tightrope German CEOs must walk. On one hand, there is immense pressure from the West to diversify supply chains away from China. On the other hand, the sheer volume of the Chinese market—and its lead in battery technology—means that leaving, or even cooling relations, could result in a permanent loss of competitiveness.

As the delegation prepares for takeoff, the automotive industry will be watching closely to see if Merz’s government can secure a stable framework that allows German engineering to coexist and compete within China’s borders.