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China’s Anti-Starlink Strategy: Simulation Suggests 2,000 Drones Needed for Taiwan Disruption

Cho Kijo Reporter / Updated : 2025-11-23 16:53:05
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BEIJING – Chinese researchers have published an extensive study detailing a potential strategy to disrupt SpaceX's Starlink satellite internet constellation, a network increasingly vital in modern warfare and global communication. The findings, reported by the South China Morning Post (SCMP) on November 23, indicate that while technically feasible, neutralizing Starlink over a region the size of Taiwan would require a massive, sophisticated operation involving thousands of electronic warfare drones.

The study, titled "Distributed Jammer Simulation Research on Downlink Communication Transmission of Mega Satellite Constellation," was published on November 5 in the Chinese academic journal Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics (JSEE). The research team comprises scientists from Zhejiang University and the Beijing Institute of Technology, a key institution for national defense science and technology.

The Challenge of a Moving Mesh Network 

Historically, military forces aiming to jam satellite communication could focus on overpowering signals from a few large geostationary (GEO) satellites fixed in position high above the equator. However, Starlink operates a vast, rapidly moving constellation of low-Earth-orbit (LEO) satellites. Crucially, the system functions as a resilient mesh network, where ground users are not connected to a single satellite but seamlessly transition between multiple overhead links. This design means that blocking one signal is futile, as the connection can switch to another satellite within seconds.

The Chinese research highlights that traditional, centralized jamming from a few powerful ground stations is ineffective against this dynamic system. Instead, the researchers propose a "distributed jamming strategy" as the only viable countermeasure.

A Distributed Electromagnetic Barrier 

This "fire-with-fire" approach involves deploying hundreds or even thousands of small, synchronized jamming devices across the operational theater using platforms like drones, balloons, and aircraft. The objective is to create an electromagnetic defensive shield in the sky, effectively saturating the area with interference.

The study utilized actual Starlink satellite data to simulate 12 hours of satellite movement over eastern China. Researchers then introduced a virtual network of jammers arranged in a grid-like, chessboard pattern at an altitude of 20 kilometers, with spacing between 5 and 9 kilometers.

The simulation results were stark: to ensure stable disruption of Starlink over the entire 36,000 square kilometers of Taiwan, a minimum of 935 interference nodes would be required. If the deployment gap were narrowed to 5 kilometers to reduce individual device power requirements and cost, the operation would necessitate approximately 2,000 electronic warfare drones or similar platforms.

The Wake-Up Call from Ukraine 

The urgency of this research stems, in part, from the war in Ukraine. According to the SCMP, the resilience of Starlink terminals deployed in Ukraine against Russian jamming attempts sent "a shockwave through the global military community, especially in Beijing."

The breakthrough simulation research from Chinese scientists offers the most detailed public analysis to date on how the People's Liberation Army (PLA) could potentially neutralize what is considered the most robust and resilient communication system in modern history. The study underscores the shifting landscape of electronic warfare, where dominance now requires countering vast, agile, and decentralized satellite networks.

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